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Zukin

Reading the polls? Keep the grains of salt handy

Poll watchers sometimes obsess over small differences in topline numbers, even those within a poll's reported margin of sampling error. But those differences pale in comparison to the size of the differences noted above. For those living in a world which hangs on...

Editorial: No, we’re not losing all the good people

The project was conducted by Rutgers University graduate students under the supervision of Cliff Zukin, a professor of public policy and political science at Rutgers’ Edward J. Bloustein School for Planning and Public Policy and Eagleton Institute of Politics. “There...

Millennials Not Hotfooting It Out of New Jersey After All — Report

“There is no crisis here, it’s not that people are fleeing the state,” said Cliff Zukin, a professor of public policy and political science at Rutgers’ Edward J. Bloustein School for Planning and Public Policy and Eagleton Institute of Politics who served as adviser...

NJ Politics Digest: Are Millennials Actually Fleeing the State?

A new study by the advocacy group New Jersey Policy Perspectives found that while residents 18 to 39 are fleeing the state, it’s no greater than anytime in the last 14 years, according to a report by NJBiz.com. And it’s no different than the number of people their age...

Study: Migration of millennials from New Jersey about the same as in past

A new study finds millennials in New Jersey are not fleeing the state at a greater rate than young people in the past. Cliff Zukin, a professor at the Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers University, said 18- to 39-year-olds are the most likely to...

Nevada Democratic caucus tough to predict

Then there’s the dynamic of a caucus where many people who may go into their precincts with a preconceived notion of who they will be voting for, but then leave it having voted for another — swayed by their neighbor or boss that their initial choice wasn’t the right...

Don't you dare trust the polls

Rutgers political scientist Cliff Zukin estimates that landline-only phone surveys miss about 60% of eligible voters. Good pollsters try to compensate by sampling cellphone users, too. (Pew will sample 75% cellphones in 2016.) But that's more complicated for several...

Why voters should take NH polls with a grain of road salt

"Polling is much harder to do well than it was four and eight years ago," says Cliff Zukin, a Rutgers University professor and former president of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. U.S. News & World Report, February 3

Polling 'Failures' Predicted for 2016 US Election

As the U.S. presidential election cycle goes into high gear, and polls become a constant staple of media coverage, experts say it has become harder to gauge who will win the race. They point to past pre-election surveys that did not accurately predict the outcome.......

With Primaries Around The Corner, A Look At How Much We Trust Polls

As the 2016 presidential race ramps up, news outlets, candidates and voters are turning to polls to see how each presidential hopeful is doing. Jill Lepore of Harvard University and Cliff Zukin of Rutgers University argue that the way polls are conducted has become...

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