Could layoffs in NJ preview a recession for 2026?

December 11, 2025

As economic forecasters await updated federal employment numbers, they’re seeing red flags in other data that suggest New Jersey could be headed towards a possible recession next year.

Since January, almost 100 NJ companies have filed Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification — or WARN — notices with the state, totaling about 13,000 eliminated jobs…

Other analysts say they see real red flags in the Challenger Gray & Christmas report, including Will Irving, an associate professor at the Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers University.

“Things have been tepid for quite a while,” he said, “but this notion that we may be coming toward a recession? We’re looking at sort of middle of next year — at least a recession as you might want to define it at the state level, where we start to see significant job declines.”

The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release U.S. employment data on Dec. 16, which will include job gains and losses and the federal unemployment rate.

NJ Spotlight News, December 10, 2025

 

Recent Posts

NJSPL: Why Do Eligible Workers Still Not Use Paid Family Leave?

New Jersey implemented paid family leave (PFL) in 2009, called the Family Leave Insurance program, and expanded it 10 years later to increase wage replacement rates, lengthen leave duration, and broaden eligibility. In 2026, additional amendments expanded access to...

MCRP Students Envision a More Walkable New Brunswick

Some bold and creative urban planning and design proposals emerged from the Spring 2026 graduate cohort of Graphic Communications, taught by Prof. Carmelo Ignaccolo and Lab Assistant Vivek Dsouza. In this course, Masters in City and Regional Planning students develop...

Bloustein School Announces Faculty Promotions for Smart and Longo

The Bloustein School is pleased to announce the recent promotion of Dr. Michael Smart to Professor and Dr. Nicholas Longo, Director of the Rutgers Democracy Lab, on appointment and tenure as a Professor in the Bloustein School. “I am thrilled to recognize these...