Here's why you should worry about the polls for the 2016 US elections — and beyond

August 31, 2015

After reviewing various difficulties with real-world polling,Cliff Zukin (professor of public policy and political science at the School for Planning and Public Policy and at the Eagleton Institute of Politics, Rutgers University) concludes:

Those paying close attention to the 2016 election should exercise caution as they read the polls. . . . We are less sure how to conduct good survey research now than we were four years ago, and much less than eight years ago. . . . Polls and pollsters are going to be less reliable. We may not even know when we’re off base. What this means for 2016 is anybody’s guess.

The Washington Post, August 31

Recent Posts

Heldrich Center: New Research on New Jersey’s Child Care Workforce

The Heldrich Center, working with the Rutgers Child Care Research Collaborative, has released a new comprehensive report and three new research briefs examining the experiences, challenges, and training needs of New Jersey’s child care workforce. The report, Findings...

Bloustein Graduate Students are 2027 Eagleton Fellows

The Graduate Fellows Program at the Eagleton Institute of Politics has been a cornerstone of the Institute's commitment to advancing the understanding and practice of politics and public service since the Institute’s founding in 1956. Throughout the fellowship,...