How big an advantage does winning the party line really deliver?

December 5, 2023

There is ample evidence that winning the party line, the preferential ballot placement that comes to candidates who win county party endorsements, gives a candidate for state or federal office an advantage.

In a recent study, Rutgers University professor Julia Sass Rubin presented data on how candidates benefit from the line, a ballot arrangement that is unique to New Jersey. This ballot arrangement, currently the subject of a federal lawsuit, is back in the news after Tammy Murphy, the wife of Gov. Phil Murphy, won the backing of the Democratic parties in the five counties with the highest number of registered Democrats within days of her announcement last month that she was running for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by embattled incumbent Democrat Bob Menendez.

Rubin looked at the results of all state legislative primaries over the last two decades, in which more than 1,000 incumbents sought reelection and 227 faced challengers. In cases where the incumbents had the party line in all the counties in which they were running, the incumbents won almost 99% of the time — only three lost. By contrast, more than half the incumbents who did not have party backing in at least one county lost.

The graphics in the article break down how many incumbents had the line in all the counties covered by their districts, how many lost the line in at least one county and whether the incumbents won.

NJ Spotlight News, December 5, 2023

Recent Posts

Two MCRP Alumni Earn Planning Excellence Awards

The New Jersey Chapter of the American Planning Association (APA New Jersey) has announced the recipients of the 2024 Planning Excellence Awards, and two Bloustein School alumni are recipients. Courtenay Mercer AICP, PP (BA '01, MCRP ' 02) was selected as the Budd...

Election Aftermath: The Path Forward for Democracy

Policy Implications, Representation Milestones, and Strengthening American Democracy in the Aftermath of Election 2024 In a special post-election episode of EJB Talks, Dean ⁠Stuart Shapiro⁠ and ⁠Elizabeth Matto⁠, Director of the ⁠Eagleton Institute of Politics⁠, offer...

Heldrich Report: Examining Student Outmigration in NJ

Where Students Go: Examining Outmigration in New Jersey Building upon previous research on outmigration, a new report measures the gaps in the New Jersey Statewide Data System (NJSDS) that limit the ability to track New Jersey high school graduates who pursue higher...

NJSPL Blog: Who Attends Virtual Schwartz Rounds?

By Irina B. Grafova, Pamela B. de Cordova, Jennifer Polakowski, and Jessica Anderson The importance of well-being programs has never been more critical. Virtual Schwartz Rounds (VSR) provide a platform for connecting with nursing colleagues facing challenging...

Communicating Environmental Issues to the Public

A Conversation with Kati Angarone RU '98, MPAP '04 on Communicating Environmental Issues to the Public In this episode of EJB Talks, host Stuart Shapiro speaks with Kati Angarone RU '98, MPAP '04, currently the Chief Strategy Officer at the New Jersey Department of...

Upcoming Events

Bildner Center: The 25th Annual Rutgers Jewish Film Festival, November 7–21

Regal Cinema Commerce Center 2399 US-1, North Brunswick, United States

The The 25th Annual Rutgers Jewish Film Festival will feature fourteen thought-provoking and entertaining films, dynamic discussions with filmmakers and special guests, and numerous New Jersey premieres on dance, music, […]

Event Series CAREERS

Virtual Career Drop-ins

Virtual

Stop by virtually on Mondays (except for holidays) beginning September 9th through December 16th between 11 am and 1 pm to ask a quick (15 min) career-related question of Bloustein […]