Report: New Jersey’s Rising Seas and Changing Coastal Storms

November 17, 2025

New Jersey’s Rising Seas and Changing Coastal Storms: Report of the 2025 Science and Technical Advisory Panel

Read Report

Abstract

The 2025 STAP Report represents the findings of the third New Jersey Science and Technical Advisory Panel on Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Storms (STAP). The STAP was charged with identifying, evaluating, and summarizing the most current science on sea-level change (i.e., historic sea-level rise and projections of future sea-level rise) and changing coastal storms. The 17 expert members of the STAP convened between November 2024 and September 2025 to draft this report and revise it in response to independent review by four peer experts and feedback on its usability from a panel of practitioners. As with previous STAP reports, this report aims to be policy-relevant, not policy-prescriptive. The report does not make recommendations about how decision makers should use projections. Such selections depend upon value judgments, such as the level of risk decision makers and impacted communities are willing to accept when planning their long-term resilience goals, as well as how decision makers and impacted communities choose to trade off the near-term costs of risk reduction and long-term sea-level risk. The STAP recommends that scientists and practitioners review the estimates and information herein on a regular basis, not to exceed five years, including after the publication of any major global (e.g., Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) or national (e.g., National Climate Assessment) assessments related to sea-level rise and coastal storms relevant to New Jersey.

This report was authored by 32 experts, many of whom work for the Center for Urban Policy Research

Citation

Kopp, R. E., A. Broccoli, G. Carleton, S. Dangendorf, R. DeConto, R. Frederiks, A.J. Garner, E. Grover-Kopec, L. Haaf, B. Hamlington, N. Ling, J. Lorenzo-Trueba, J. Miller, D. Robinson, G. Vecchi, T. Wahl, J. Walker, J.M. Barr, J. Shope, D.K. Apoznanski, P. Kumar, L. Marxen, A. Spector, K. O’Neill, L. Auermuller, and M. Kaplan. New Jersey’s Rising Seas and Changing Coastal Storms: Report of the 2025 Science and Technical Advisory Panel. Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey. Prepared for the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection. Trenton, New Jersey.

 

Recent Posts

At Rutgers, Students Are Learning About Democracy in a Lab

Nicholas V. Longo is leading a university-wide effort on how to expand engagement in civic life Nicholas V. Longo, the inaugural director of the Rutgers Democracy Lab, insists democracy is something you learn by doing – not just in a classroom or at the ballot box,...

Samuel, Thakuriah Lead Discussions at RAD Collaboratory

The 𝐑𝐮𝐭𝐠𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐀𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐃𝐚𝐭𝐚 𝐒𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 (𝐑𝐀𝐃) 𝐂𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 recently hosted its inaugural Research Symposium on 3/24/26 - an amazing event that has sparked much interest in collaborative research with AI as a matchmaking catalyst....

Bulger et al. Examine Food Security, Sovereignty as Climate Adaptation

Bridging Western and Indigenous epistemologies in an opaque world Food security and food sovereignty as climate adaptation Abstract Food security and food sovereignty represent two similar but distinct pathways for community-led climate adaptation. This study examines...